Thursday, August 31, 2006
I average up shorting NUHC yesterday.
Its FA looks weak to me. It's only an electronic component retailer....negative cash flow....little cash in hand....huge debt.....huge #employees. I also doubt its recent acquisition of a British company.
Let's see how the MMs play this one. I just like to short those flying bubbles!
Wednesday, August 30, 2006
CMOS now 2.54(+8.09%), called@1.86 at group on Aug15
Bottom-fish today: CMOS@1.86
Aug 15, by Blue Blue
==============================================
SIGM now13.73(+16.85%),called@9.95;ANAD now7.51(+7.13%),called@6 on Aug17 at Group
Bot ANAD@6,SIGM@9.95... today
Aug 17, by Blue Blue
==========================================
SIGM now 12.98,called@9.95 on Aug17 @Group
Bot ANAD@6,SIGM@9.95... today
Aug 17, by Blue Blue
==========================================
MRVC,now 2.69,+5.69%,called yesterday at Group
Bullish penny candidate: MRVC, now 2.46
You could watch it closely before taking any action. Do your own DD.
Last year Ionce called this one 2.1x and it ran to 4.5x within 8-10 weeks --
Aug 29, by Blue Blue
SIGM now 12.65 pre/M,called@9.95 on Aug17 @Group
Bot ANAD@6,SIGM@9.95... today
Aug 17, by Blue Blue
==========================================
CMOS now 2.48 pre/H, called@1.86 at group on Aug15
Bottom-fish today: CMOS@1.86
Aug 15, by Blue Blue
==============================================
Tuesday, August 29, 2006
Picks/long of last week
- CVTX, rose to 11.95& closed @11.9 today(+7.79%), called around 10.5x....looking good!
- BCRX looking better, now 9.89, called around 9.4x.... looking good!
- F, walking up steadily to now 8.26, called @7.4x.....looking good!
- ...etc.
Picks/long before last week
Picks/long before last week:
- ANAD flied to 7.18 yesterday (+17%), was picked around 6 earlier.
- ECIL rising steadily to 7.47 yesterday, was picked around 7...
- VLCM rose to 22.37, was picked @20.5x.. .
- SIGM rose up to 11.75 today(+4.17%), was picked around 9.95 earlier.
- VPHM rose to 12.89 &closed @12.61 today(+12.89%), was picked 8.98.
- SIFY once over 9 after called around 8.2x.
- Bullish penny AVNX flied to 2.05 yesterday, was called around 1.37....
- CMOS another bullish penny rose to 2.37 &closed @2.35 today(+11.37%), was picked @ 1.86...
Picks/short of last week:
- SYKE, shorted up to 19.58. It closed @19.42(-0.15%) today. NUHC shorted around 13.5. //still short here.
- NVT, shorted @25.01, 25.36 Friday. It dropped to 23.73 &closed @23.98 today(-4.39%). ..........CBK shorted @25.05,26.05. It dropped to 25.16 &closed @25.42 today(-0.94%) .......TMA shorted @23.05. It dropped to 22.96 &closed @23.06 today(-0.99%)//All Covered.....they're looking bearish & might drop further though.
- NURO, shorted/called @29.16 last Thursday. It dropped to 26.26 and closed @26.77 yesterday. Covered yesterday. AAPL, shorted @68.26 last Friday. It dropped to 65.12 &closed @66.48(-0.75%) today. //Covered.
My words for you today
- Be cautious when chasing high-flying mid/big-cap.
- Short the bubbles. They will break in the end.
- Try to long some undervalued/bullish penny.
CMOS is the bullish penny picked togther with AVNX
CMOS picked @1.86, hopefully it will move much higher later as well.
VPHM now 12.7 pre/H, bot@8.98 &called at the group Aug16
Got VPHM @8.98 Today Aug 16, 1:07 pm by Blue Blue
MMs seem eager to manupulate this LEG UP before Labor Day.
Like AVNX picked here @1.37 on Aug15, ran to 2.05 today!
About +50% within 9 trading days, right?
ANAD reached high 7.18 today(+17%), called about 6 on Aug 17
Bot ...ANAD@6, ...today
Aug 17, by Blue Blue
================================ =======
Monday, August 28, 2006
AVNX, now 1.83 pre/H,bot@1.37 &called on Aug.15
=======My alert sent to group=======
Bullish penny: AVNX@1.37,LNUX@4.22 today
Aug 15, by Blue Blue
Sunday, August 27, 2006
My Take on Next week
With this thin volume, I don't expect the gap/support strong enough for next Leg Up. Instead I expect a shorting opportunity before we see the gap being closed. And that's why I am mostly sitting on the shorting side, even I feel bullish for the S/T. AAPL NURO TMA NVT SYKE...etc. are among my shorting list.
Last Friday, MMs pulling INTC AAPL SNDK...to hold the NAZ well, gave me only an impression of manupulation. Let's see how they play these big-guys when they come to their major resistence next week.
Right now I am mostly in shorting. After the gap is closed, I would be changing to long for the possible next-Leg UP. So next week I would be looking for some undervalued stocks. Pls note this is based on my assumption that
- the downside of the market is limited
- this is a monkey market &
- 2190-2200 is possible target for next LEG, with 2220 a strong resistence.
Economic Data Next Week
On Wednesday, Wall Street will be reading the preliminary second-quarter gross domestic product numbers with interest to see if personal spending has slowed, and how business investment and government spending fared. Consumers will also be in focus Wednesday, when the Commerce Department releases its personal income and personal spending reports for July. Also that day, the department will release its factory orders report for last month.
Perhaps the most important report this week comes out Friday, when the Labor Department releases its nonfarm payroll data for August. In July, the report showed slowing momentum and volatility in payroll growth, which is expected to continue. The pace of business spending will also be measured on Friday when the Institute for Supply Management releases its survey of activity in the manufacturing sector, covering new orders, production, employment and inventories.
...
>>
NENG now 1.87 today, called@1.7 on Aug18.
=======Alert sent to GROUP=======
NENG@1.70 might turn into a bullish penny ahead.
Aug 18, by Blue
Friday, August 25, 2006
NURO saw 26.71,closed@27.04today(-5.82%),called/short@29.16 yesterday
Shorted NURO@29.16 just now
TA looking bearish to me. --
Aug 24, by Blue Blue
======================
H&R Block Inc. shed $1.98, or 8.7 percent, to $20.81 today
ZUMZ now 21.23,called/short @31.03-31.54 on July28
ZUMZ is old pick to short. Shorted@31.03 today//Shorted more.It's now 31.54...
From: Blue Blue
Date: Fri, Jul 28 2006 9:52 am
Email: "Blue Blue"
I think it's overpriced above $30. Bubble to me.
Thursday, August 24, 2006
My Market Thought & My Strategy
================
- So far a monkey market, range bounded: 2150-2100. Old range 2100-2050 is now a strong support. Downside is quite milited because people expecting a year-end rally as well as expecting more people back to the market after Labor Day.
- I remain bullish for the S/T market with a possible target 2190-2200. And 2220 would be a strong resistence. S/T: Now=>Labor Day or before next Fed meeting.
My Strategy:
=========
- For strong/bullish names: Buy low, sell higher.
- For weak/bearish names: Short high, buy lower.
- Overall playing based on fast trades.
Slowly MRCY walking down.Now 12.07,called/short@12.56
Update Today (Aug 14, Monday) ... Still short*. *Shorted today:* 1. *MRCY*, shorted @12.56, low 12.31, closed@12.37(-0.8%)today.//*Still short. Bearish.* 2. *CRAY ...
=================================
VPHM saw11.22 &closed@10.9,+8%today, bot@8.98 &called on Aug16
Got VPHM @8.98 Today
Aug 16, 1:07 pm by Blue Blue
====================================
ZUMZ now 22.31,-8.64%,called/short @31.03-31.54 on July28
ZUMZ is old pick to short. Shorted@31.03 today//Shorted more.It's now 31.54...
From: Blue Blue
Date: Fri, Jul 28 2006 9:52 am
Email: "Blue Blue"
I think it's overpriced above $30. Bubble to me.
==============================================
NAZ likely to close the gap on Aug16 ahead
Monkey market, range bounded: 2150-2100
- For strong/bullish names: Buy low, sell higher.
- For weak/bearish names: Short high, buy lower.
Wednesday, August 23, 2006
Here's a brief review of the picks within the week.
Picks of Monday:
- PTSC, bot @0.9, it reached 0.97 on Tuesday. //Sold.
- CDE , bot @5.35, added more @5.29 on Tuesday. It reached 5.58 & closed @5.31 today//Sold
- AUY, bot @10, added more @9.9 on Tuesday. It reached 10.46 & closed @10.26 today. //Sold
- CRAY, shorted @13.05,13.26. It dropped to 11.66 & closed @11.88 today (-7.76%) //Covered.
Picks of Tuesday:
- KGC, bot @13.22,13.39 on Tues, It reached 13.95 & closed @13.88(+3.2%) today. //Sold
- BGO, bot @5.26 on Tues. It reached 5.43 & closed @5.24 today. //Sold
- GNA, bot @9.93 on Tues. It reached 9.98 & closed @9.91(-0.4%) today. //Sold
- BCRX, closed @9.45 on Tues. It reached 9.74 & closed @9.50(+0.53%) today.//Once called to short @12.56 on July 20. It dropped to 8.2 on Aug 15. Might be time for a bounce play. Other bird-flu stocks NVAX GNBT flied well today.
- CNTF, closed @7.15 on Tues. It reached 7.35 & closed @7.26(+1.54%) today.
Picks of Wednesday: (To be announced)
Under 2130 is a buy for a bounce tomorrow.
So far a monkey market for NAZ
The old/1st range: 2100-2050 has been a support area.
Since many people are expecting a year-end rally, I think the downside of this market should be limited unless we're flashed to be in a recession. That's why I am mainly focusing on the bullish plays.
Note it's soon Labor day. People are coming back to market.
Bird-flu play: BCRX NVAX GNBT
NVAX GNBT flied high today so might be too late to chase.
I remain bullish on the S/T market with target 2190-2200
As I said last Thurs, I am bullish on gold/oil.(GSX, bot @2.52 last Fri., now 3.15) But in fact I'm much more bullish on gold than oil. With gold price well above $600, some gold/silver producers would have a really good EARNING! I added/called several potential gold/metals on Monday/Tuesday & they are doing great so far! But pls note being a swing trader would give you much more flexibility to play and win.
Tuesday, August 22, 2006
Monday, August 21, 2006
About OIL and GOLD
Last Friday morning, I bot GSX @2.52 with a target at @2.88-3. It reached 3.05 in the afternoon & closed @2.95(+22.9%). Oil/gold, by market close, bounced as expected.
CHID is also an energy play together with IFNY OMNI...etc. I feel like that IRAN nuclear Issue will be the hot topic from later on. So oil/gold would be limited on the downside in the forseeable future.
Sunday, August 20, 2006
Saturday, August 19, 2006
GSX bot@2.52, high@3.05 &closed@2.95(+22.9%) on the same day
Order Fill GSX//Bot@2.52 today.
It's been a falling knife recently and I really hesitated to call this one. Now that it passes MA5, I expect 2.88-3 as target...but....It's now 2.64... I'm not sure if it's too late. So pls do your own DD. Pls ignore this one if you're not a fast hand. BTW, I expect oil will have another rally when IRAN jumps to table late this... more » by Blue Blue - Aug 18
=========================================
Friday, August 18, 2006
My Market Thought & Outlook for Next Week
Blue Blue to BluelightNewsl. More options 12:40 pm (2 hours ago)
Today is OE day. Probably NAZ will be closed around 2150. It's not a good time to go shorting yet. However, you also need be very careful when going long. Better long/select the right one with good TAs( & FAs, too). TAs are now more important because we are not sure if this is only a relief-bounce. It seems to me that NAZ could likely touch 2190-2200 next week. 2220 will have strong resistence going ahead.
So far, I am holding all in long:.....GSX....etc. (too many to mention?:))
--~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~
For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/BluelightNewsletter
Bot some oil and gold stuff before market close yesterday
Yesterday's non-Penny Outperformers
- COGT, bot @12.15 on Wednesday. Its high @14.02, and closed @13.82(+13.37%) on Thursday.
- SIFY @8.2 on Thursday, it shot over +11% to 9 but closed at 8.4(+4.1%) on Thursday.
- SIGM @9.95 on Thursday. It shot to 11.1 & closed @11.03 (+11.10%) on Thursday.
- ...etc.
Bullish Penny Picks called/bot at Group on Tuesday
I called them as bullish penny plays on Tuesday.
- AVNX, bot @1.37 on Tuesday. It reached 1.69 on Thursday after it closed @1.63(+18.12%) Wednesday.
- CMOS, bot @1.86 on Tuesday. Its high @2.18, and closed @2.17(+13.02%) on Thursday.
- LNUX, bot @4.22 on Tuesday. Its high @4.62, and closed @4.57(+7.03%) on Thursday.
- ...etc.
Thursday, August 17, 2006
FTO now 33.05, called/short @36.43 last Friday
Shorted FTO@36.43just now
It's now looking strong but it will down sooner or later. Patience needed here. -- Aug 11, 2:27 pm by Blue Blue
==========================
COGT now 13.39, called@12.15 at GROUP yesterday
Bot COGT@12.15 for anti-terrorist play -D)
Target: 13+ -- Aug 16, by Blue Blue
==============================
Wednesday, August 16, 2006
VPHM now 9.66,+10.65%, bot@8.98 &called at the group today
Got VPHM @8.98 Today Aug 16, by Blue Blue
==========================================
ESLR 9.31,+9.79%, bot@8.62 &called at the group today
ESLR, in@8.62 just now
Date:Wed, Aug 16 2006 9:35 am
Email: "Blue Blue"
STP SWPR ENER all strong but ESLR right now.
==========================================
AVNX, now 1.63,+18.12%,bot@1.37 &called yesterday
Bullish penny: AVNX@1.37.. Aug 15, by Blue Blue - 1 message - 1 author
=====================================
Yesterday NAZ broke out of 3 weeks' range 2050-2100
If 2100 is holding well by market close, I would say this is a healthy and bullish market for S/T. Then look for next round of range movement 2100-2150. JMHO
Tuesday, August 15, 2006
Market looking strong. Time to play some bullish penny.
PPI shooting the market to the sky. But how about CPI tomrrow?
BCRX now 8.2, called/shorted@12.56 at Group on Jul 20
Shorted BCRX @12.56 Today
Since NAZ pulled too much here, I re-consider to short.
-- Jul 20, by Blue Blue
=======================================
KERX now 9.6, called/shorted @11.53 at group on July20
Shorted KERX@11.53 just now Jul 20, by Blue Blue
=========================================
Monday, August 14, 2006
ZOLT now 18.14,-9.3%, shorted@20.18 & called at group last Fri.
Shorted ZOLT@20.18 Today
SHOULD be under MA200 next week -- Aug 11, by Blue Blue
=============================================
Sunday, August 13, 2006
SMSI now 9.03(-4.85%),short@14.68/called at Group on July26
===================================================
Alerts sent to GROUP-http://groups.google.com/group/BluelightNewsletter
===================================================
Shorted SMSI@14.68 today i TRIED TO SHORT HERE because I think it is overpriced. .....
Jul 26, by Blue Blue
Friday, August 11, 2006
BWR.to closed@1.4(+2.94%) today,called@1.24 this Tuesday
Update Today (Aug 8, 2006) ... 5. New long:BWR.to, bot @1.24 today......
BSG now 7.92,-34%, shorted@12.58 & called at group on July 25
Short BSG@12.58, NOW 12.55 Chart looking bearish. ..... -- Jul 25, 2:21 pm by Blue Blue
Thursday, August 10, 2006
BCRX now 8.9, called/short @12.56 at Group on July 20
Shorted BCRX @12.56 Today Since NAZ pulled too much here, I re-consider to short. -- Jul 20, 1:17 pm by Blue Blue - 1 message - 1 author
==============================
SMSI now 9.51(-5%),short@14.68/called at Group onJuly26
Alerts sent to GROUP-http://groups.google.com/group/BluelightNewsletter
===================================================
Shorted SMSI@14.68 today i TRIED TO SHORT HERE because I think it is overpriced. ..... Jul 26, by Blue Blue
CELG now 40.67, called/short at Group this Tues/Wedn.
Shorted more CELG@44 Today Yesterday I said it is worth shorting more if it could bounce today. SoI took the opportunity. Target: 38-37 Stop-loss: 45 -- Aug 9, by Blue Blue - 1 message - 1 author
CELG could be good short. Now 43.05 I shorted 43.25 not too long ago. Seems ready for lower. JMHO -- -- Aug 8, by Blue Blue - 1 message - 1 author
Shorted more CELG@43.63, stop-loss: 45 If 43-42.88 confirmed to break down today, it will be proved a good short. -- Aug 8, by Blue Blue
Wednesday, August 09, 2006
About my short ACLI, called@53.52-56.2recently at Group
I called/shorted this based on its weak FA to me: Little cash, huge# of employees, huge debt, manufacturing revenue declined last Qtr, slowing economy, soaring fuel cost to transportation...
Here's some brief history of ACLI:
- 1998 Merger of American Commercial Lines, Inc., Southern Marine Service LLC and NMI Holdings LLC formed American Commercial Lines LLC
- 2000 acquired the assets of Peavey Barge Line
Watercom is sold to Mobex
ACBL Hidrovias, S.A. and Ultrapetrol enter into a 50% partnership forming UABL
Jeffboat launches its 8,000th barge in October - 2001 ACL sells the majority of its American Commercial Terminal assets to partner Global Material Services.
- 2002 Danielson Holding Corporation acquires ACL.
- 2003 ACL files for Chapter 11 financial restructuring on January 31, 2003.
- 2004 ACL sells interest in UABL to Ultrapetrol April 23, 2004
Jeffboat launches 10,000th vessel on July 17, 2004
ACL files Plan of Reorganization on September 10, 2004
ACL sells interest in GMS to Mid South Terminals October 6, 2004 - 2005 ACL emerges from bankruptcy on Jan 11, 2005.
=================Old message at group==================
Shorted more ACLI@56.2, I'll win in the end. .. -- Aug 4 by Blue Blue - 1 message - 1 author
ZUMZ broke 26, now 25.9,called/short @31.03-31.54 on July27
ZUMZ is old pick to short. Shorted@31.03 today//Shorted more.It's now 31.54...
From: Blue Blue
Date: Fri, Jul 28 2006 9:52 am
Email: "Blue Blue"
I think it's overpriced above $30. Bubble to me.
==============================================
This is my sole long holding: BWR.to.
ACLI, shorted@53.52,56.2 recently& called at Group
I believe weak FA would crash its TA later.
Tuesday, August 08, 2006
ZUMZ called/short @31.03-31.54 on July27, reached low 26.06 today
CELL high@16.72 & closed@16.6+8.85% today,called@12.74 at group
===========Alerts at Group=============
Bot CELL@11.74 back today //typo:12.74
From: Blue Blue -
Date: Tues, Jul 25 2006 10:09 am
Email: "Blue Blue" bluelightra...
NAZ is getting strong. For S/T CELL seems likely moving up. I said CELL is worth investing in the longer-term.
============= ======== =============
AAPL was once a leader of this round of rally
LBIX now 4.77 -10%,called to short 6.31 last week at Group
I once called to buy @3.03 in June and it ran to 7.09 later.
Monday, August 07, 2006
LBIX called to short last week at Group at 6.31, you could short higher
Sunday, August 06, 2006
Recent Two Weeks' Outperformers(July 24-Aug4)
http://groups.google.com/group/BluelightNewsletter
Long picks:
- CNC called @14.74 on July24, reached high @17.41 on Aug4, up about +18% within 12 days.
- CBAK bot @4.62 on July25, reached high @6.05 on July27, up about +41% within 3 days. //Thanks to Jay.
- CELL called @12.74 on July25, reached high @15.68 on Aug4, up about +23% within 11 days.
- IFNY called @5.03 on July26, reached high @6.16 on July31, up about +16% within 6 days.
- TFSM called @6.92 on July28, reached high @9.26 on Aug4, up about +34% within 7 days.
- SCUR called @5.44 on July28, reached high @6.46 on Aug4, up about +19% within 7 days.
- THOR called @13.2 on July31, reached high @16.48 on Aug2, up about +25% within 3 days.
- ESLR called @9.25 on July31, reached high @10.09 on Aug4, up about +9% within 5days.
- BRNC called @19.72 on July31, reached high @21.38 on Aug2, up about +8.4% within days.
- ...etc.
Short Picks:
- BSG called @12.58 on July26, reached low @11.97 on Aug1, down about -5% within 7days. Now 12.16.
- SMSI called @14.68 on July26, reached low @10.48 on Aug2, down about -29% within 8 days. Now 10.73.
- TSCM called @11.26 on July27, reached low @9.08 on July27, down about -29.4% within same day.
- ZUMZ called @31.03-31.54 on July27, reached low @26.44 on Aug3, down about -16% within 8 days.
- ERES called @8.03 on Aug1, reached low @7.49 on Aug4, down about -7% within 4 days. Now 7.55, getting bearish.
- LBIX called @6.31 on Aug1, reached low @6.18 on Aug4. Now 6.26, getting bearish.//Once called to buy @3.03, it reached 7.09 later.
- WNR called @24.28 on Aug2, reached low @23.75 on Aug4. Now 24.08, getting bearish.
- HANS called @40.7 on Aug4, reached low @39.75 on Aug4. Now 40.25, getting bearish
- ....etc.
Some shorts' picks might be looking very strong in TA when I called to short. Why I dared to short? Because I do believe FA sometimes could crash TA. I have got much similar experience when going short many bubbles at TOPs such as FMTI FXEN INNO AXYX GGR SIFY HOM SMSI ... etc. in recent years. I'll post some more such bubbles to short later.
SPX record high@1326.7 on May8, record low@1219.29 on June 14
SPX once bounced to 1292.92 on Aug 4.
%of Retracememnt: (1292.92 -1219.29 )//(1326.7-1219.29 )=73.63/107.41=>about 68.5%
Dow record high@11670.19 on May10, record low@10683 on July 18
Dow once bounced to 11344.17 on Aug 4.
%of Retracememnt: (11344.17-10683)//(11670.19-10683)=661.17/987.19=>about 67%
Saturday, August 05, 2006
IRAN Nuclear Issue Could be Next Hot topic after FED meeting
After FED meeting next week, IRAN nuclear issue could be put on HOT table. Iran just rejected UN's deadline(Aug 31) warning of sanction this week. Will the U.S. do nothing about Iran? I guess the U.S will bring more pressure on Iran. But you could wait for that till Israel finishes his war in Lebanon. Let alone other uncertainty of economy growth & inflation....
India's Top Court Asks Coca-Cola, Pepsico to Disclose Contents of Soft Drinks
India's Top Court Seeks Soda Disclosure Saturday August 5, 6:32 am ET
India's Top Court Asks Coca-Cola, Pepsico to Disclose Contents of Soft Drinks
NEW DELHI (AP) -- India's top court has asked Coca-Cola and Pepsi to disclose the ingredients in the soft drinks they sell here amid allegations the drinks contain high levels of pesticide.
The Supreme Court notice on Friday came days after a New Delhi-based independent research body said it found samples of Coke and Pepsi contained pesticide residue that was 24 times above the limits set by the Bureau of Indian Standards.
.......
....
Friday, August 04, 2006
I am now in full short & I am confident
Check my post yesterday: Read here.
I expected 11330 a strong resistence point for the leader DOW & I'm expecting a rate hiking. So pls be careful when buying. DON'T be sucked in any false-breakout.
Added shorting HANS today. Its ER will be next Monday. I guess it will be "very good"......but too good for me not to short.
Thursday, August 03, 2006
FED Meeting & this Monkey Market
We know in this round of bounce off July low, DOW is the leader. So let's calcualte first, is it a good gamble on whether FED will increase rate or give a pause? There are two cases here on Aug 8:
- Pause. OK. Dow bouncing more. But 11330 is the next strong resistence point.
- Increase by 1 Qtr. Oops.... Dow selling off sharply with 10700 as possible target later. ( July's low is about 10700)
Dow is now about 11200. So you guys know the math on what a upside/downside for this gamble? Anyway, always try to short those rich of bubbles and long those undervalued. This should help your profolio grow.
NAZ Remains a Chopping Range Monkey Market
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Wednesday, August 02, 2006
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All content published here is for your entertainment only. The author is not providing investment advice. The author is not a licensed financial advisor. The author may sell or buy (to cover) positions according to the market movement. The author does not make any claims, promises, or guarantees that any suggestions, systems, methods, trading strategies, or information will result in a profit, loss, or any other desired result. All readers assume all risk, including but not limited to the risk of losses. Please always do your own DD before making any decision. Don't be too greedy & remeber to set a protective stop.