BluelightNewsletter

Disclaimer: My personnal opinion is for your entertainment only & should not be used as advice on your decision. I may sell or buy (to cover) my holding according to the market movement. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Please always do your own DD. Set protective stops & not be too greedy. You are responsible for your own decision. I wish you good luck trading. -Blue

Friday, August 29, 2008

Yesterday's picks

  1. short/ NUVA, once dropped to 47.32 today & now 47.66(-1.45%), called(NUVA looks bearish around 49, looking target to cover at 48.5, 48, 46, stop:50.8 -Aug 27) //this short once down -3.5% within 2 days.
  2. MI, once reached 15.68 today, now 15.4(+1.05%), called(Bought MI@14.94 Target:15.4, 15.8, 16.5 stop: 14.5 -Aug28) //once up +4.95% within 2 days.
  3. DLLR, once reached 18.76 today, now 18.28(+9.72%), called(Bought DLLR@16.08 Target:16.25, 16.5 stop: 15.8 -Aug28) //once up +16.7% within 2 days.
  4. RDN, once reached 4.09 today, now 3.83(+1.59%), called(bOUGHT RDN@3,58, tARGET:3.8, 4 STOP:3.1 -Aug28) //once up +14.2% within 2 days.

Thursday, August 28, 2008

  1. short/CELG, once dropped to 68.83 today, called(Shorting candidate: CELG@70.35, target:69~65 stop:73 -Aug 27) // passed 1st target
  2. short/ MED, once dropped to 7.93 today, called(Shorted MED@8.35, cover target:8.12 ~ 8 or tomorrow -Aug 27) // passed last target

called to short CELG MED yesterday

  1. [ MED ] will it drop like a rock? shorted MED yesterday


  2. [ CELG ] broke down 70! will it drop like a rock? shorted CELG yesterday

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Monday, August 25, 2008

SOLF JASO YGE TSL

  1. SOLF, reached 12.93 on Aug7, called(Bounce play: SOLF@12.72 Target:13.1, 13.8 stop:12 -Aug6) //reached 21.26 Aug 21, once up +67% within 12 trading days. (GCL applies for IPO // In June SOLF has a long term supply ... -Aug 8) .
  2. JASO, once reached 17.03 on Aug 18, called(Bought JASO@16.3, Target:16.84, stop:15.8 -Aug15) //reached 18.48 on Aug 21, once up +13.4% within 5 trading days.
  3. YGE, once reached 18.39 today & now 17.88(+0.11%), called(bot YGE@15.13, target:15.5, 16 stop:14.8 -Aug20) //once up +21.5% within 4 trading days.
  4. TSL, once reached 34.92 today & now 33.96(+2.38%), called(target: 31.5, 32.5, 34, stop:29//Re: Bot TSL@30.55 -Aug20) //once up +10.9% within 4 trading days.

Sunday, August 24, 2008

US$/CA$

Thursday, August 21, 2008

Recent plays: SGY SOLF JASO

  1. SGY , reached 52.1& now 51.46(+4.85%), called(Bot SGY@48.3, Target:49, 49.5 stop:47.5 -Aug 19). //once up +7.9% within 2 trading days
  2. SOLF, reached 12.93 on Aug7, called(Bounce play: SOLF@12.72 Target:13.1, 13.8 stop:12 -Aug6) //reached 19.32 today & now 19.32(+17.66%). //once up +52% within 11 trading days. (GCL applies for IPO // In June SOLF has a long term supply ... -Aug 8) .
  3. JASO, once reached 17.03 on Aug 18, called(Bought JASO@16.3, Target:16.84, stop:15.8 -Aug15) //reached 18.05 today& now 17.96(+9.51%) //once up +10.7% within 4 trading days.

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Yesterday's call: TBSI

HTBK: once up +21% today since called this Monday

WNR: once up +27.8% today since called last Friday

WNR, LNDC

  1. WNR, reached 9.27 today & now 9.23(+6.23%), called(Bought WNR@7.42 Target:7.9, 8.24, 9.3 stop:7 -Aug7) //once up +25% within 4 trading days.
  2. LNDC, reached 9.75 & now 9.72(+6.46%), called(Bounce play: LNDC@6.62, target:6.8, 7.2, 7.5 stop:6 -Jul 8)//up +47% within 5 weeks

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Some Recent Long Picks

  1. RJET, reached 11.4 on the same day after called(RJET@10.58, TArget:11, 11.8, 13 stop: 9.4 -Aug7) //once up +9.3% on the same day after called.
  2. WNR, reached 8.93 today & now 8.68(+3.7%), called(Bought WNR@7.42 Target:7.9, 8.24, 9.3 stop:7 -Aug7) //once up +20.5% within 3 trading days.
  3. HTBK, reached 12.69& now 12.62(+4.21%), called(new target: 12.15//Re: new target:10.5, 11 //Re: Bottom-fishing: HTBK@9.24, Target: 9.5, 9.8, 10.2, stop: 8.6 -Aug 11)//called again about 11.45 yesterday & once up +10.8% since then.
  4. CIEN, reached 18.69 on Aug 11 called(Bot 1200 shares of CIEN@16.73, plan to add another 1200 shares if it drops under 16 tomorrow. Target:17, 17.4, 18 stop:15 -Aug7) //once up +11.8% within 3 trading days.

Thursday, August 07, 2008

By Ben Rooney, CNNMoney.com staff writer

Dollar strengthens. Crude prices came under pressure Thursday afternoon in response to gains made by the U.S. dollar against other currencies.

The euro fell to $1.532 from $1.5412 on Wednesday.

The 15-nation currency started to slide after European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet warned that economic growth in Europe is expected to be weak during the third quarter, prompting speculation that the central bank will not raise interest rates to fight inflation.

The ECB also announced its decision to hold a key interest rate steady at 4.25%, as expected.

Oil prices often fall when the greenback gains ground, partly because a more robust dollar makes oil more expensive for overseas buyers.

Crude and other dollar-denominated commodities have also been popular with investors in the U.S. looking for a hedge against inflation. But when the dollar rises and inflation fears abate, these investors often exit the oil market.
EPA rejects ethanol waiver request

EPA rejects ethanol waiver request

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency announced Thursday it will not curtail a rule requiring that ethanol be added to gasoline, turning back a claim that the additive was artificially raising food prices.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry petitioned the EPA in late April to grant a 50% waiver on the nation's Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), which calls for 9 billion gallons of corn-based ethanol to be added to gasoline supplies this year.

"I am greatly disappointed with the EPA's inability to look past the good intentions of this policy to see the significant harm it is doing to farmers, ranchers and American households," said Perry in a statement. "For the EPA to assert that this federal mandate is not affecting food prices not only goes against common sense, but every American's grocery bill."

After a weeks-long delay in its ruling, EPA Administrator Stephen Johnson said the government agency denied the waiver request because it did not find that the RFS caused "severe economic harm."

"The EPA's professional staff conducted a detailed analysis ... and found that the Renewable Fuel Standard mandate is not causing severe economic harm, but rather strengthening the nation's energy security and farm communities," Johnson said on a conference call with reporters.

The EPA held a period of public comment about the standard in June and received over 15,000 comments, according to the government body. Though many came out in favor of the standard, others said the RFS will contribute to a sharp rise in food prices if not reduced.

"Rising food prices are a problem, and as a nation we must work together on these challenges," said Johnson. "But is that the result of the RFS mandate, and are those price increases meeting the statutory requirement of severe detriment to the economy? That answer is no."

The EPA acknowledged that the RFS has resulted in a rise in corn feed prices, but said the mandate has only added 7 cents to each bushel.

But Gov. Perry said the RFS has put undue pressure on the already struggling livestock business.

"Denying Texas' request is a mistake that will only increase the already heavy financial burden on families while doing even more harm to the livestock industry," said Perry. "Any government mandate that artificially props-up a single industry to the detriment of millions of Americans is bad public policy."

Good intentions harming economy?
The EPA currently requires that 7.76% of gasoline products be blended with ethanol in 2008. That amounts to about 9 billion gallons that U.S. ethanol producers have to put out this year. Next year, they will have to produce 11.1 billion gallons of corn-based ethanol.

"The RFS is designed to expand annual biofuel use to 36 billion gallons by 2022 with 21 billion gallons from switch grass, wood chips, municipal garbage, and other cellulosic sources," said Renewable Fuels Association President Bob Dinneen in a statement. "We applaud the EPA for keeping America squarely on the path toward greater energy independence."

But Perry said the EPA is missing a chance to help American families who have unintentionally been hurt by the EPA's mandate.

"Good intentions and laudable goals are small compensation to the families, farmers and ranchers who are being hurt by the federal government's efforts to trade food for fuel," said Perry. "Congress specifically created an emergency waiver provision for situations like these and EPA refuses to implement it."

The EPA had originally said it would make a decision on the waiver by July 24, but last month said it needed more time to review the comments and consult with the departments of Agriculture and Energy.

Wednesday, August 06, 2008

Citigroup Is Expected to Buy Back Securities


By ERIC DASH
Published: August 6, 2008
Citigroup was nearing an agreement late Wednesday to buy back more than $7 billion of auction-rate securities from investors to settle claims that it misled clients about the dangers of the investments.

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Citigroup Incorporated

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The pact, with state and federal regulators, is expected to include a fine of as much as $100 million, according to several people involved in the talks.

Also on Wednesday, in an unrelated case, STMicroelectronics, a semiconductor company, sued the Credit Suisse Group, saying that Credit Suisse had defrauded STMicroelectronics by investing its cash in unauthorized and unsuitable investments.

Regulators are investigating at least a dozen Wall Street firms for their role in the sales and marketing of so-called auction-rate investments, and analysts expect a wave of settlements in the next few months.

Auction-rate securities are preferred shares or debt instruments with rates that reset regularly, usually every week, in auctions overseen by the brokerage firms that originally sold them. The $300 billion market for the investments collapsed in February, trapping investors who had been told that the securities were safe and easy to cash in.

Citigroup declined to comment on the negotiations but said in a statement that it was “working with market participants and regulators to find an industrywide solution to auction-rate securities issues.”

According to the people involved, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak, Citigroup is expected to buy back at least $7 billion worth of securities from individual investors, but the company could pay even more if it chooses to make institutional investors whole as well.

These people said Citigroup, one of Wall Street’s biggest auction-rate securities dealers, is expected to pay a $100 million fine to settle with the New York attorney general’s office and a task force of 12 state regulators, led by the Texas State Securities Board. Each group would exact a $50 million penalty.

The federal Securities and Exchange Commission also participated in the settlement talks but elected not to exact a penalty, pending its own investigation.

The expected settlement follows two days of closed-door meetings between Citigroup and the state and federal regulators, and reflects Citigroup’s desire to put its auction-rate securities troubles behind it.

Any settlement would also have implications for other Wall Street firms, with the Citigroup deal serving as a benchmark for the industry. Two other banks, UBS and Merrill Lynch, are under investigation by several groups of regulators. But unlike Citigroup, UBS faces additional allegations that at least one of its executives engaged in insider trading.

In the STMicroelectronics lawsuit, the company says that it instructed Credit Suisse’s brokers to invest in top-rated securities backed by student loans. Instead, the brokers invested in riskier securities backed by subprime mortgages, or those made to individuals with weak credit records, STMicroelectronics says.

The company further alleges that “from the beginning Credit Suisse Securities engaged in a bold and sophisticated scheme to defraud ST,” suggesting Credit Suisse was aware that its brokers were moving clients’ accounts into risky auction-rate securities as part of a scheme to get those securities off its own books and earn higher fees for its services.

David Walker, a spokesman for Credit Suisse, said he had not seen the lawsuit and declined to comment.

The suit seeks to recover at least $415 million of STMicroelectronics’ funds. The lawsuit says the company is one of more than a dozen multinational corporations, representing up to $2 billion in assets, that are victims. Since the company confronted Credit Suisse about the case in the summer of 2007, the bank has refused to return its funds, which have been marked down $115 million in value, the lawsuit says.

Jenny Anderson contributed reporting.

Monday, August 04, 2008

Rising prices beat down consumer spending in June


Monday August 4, 10:10 am ET
By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer

Consumer spending tumbles in June as prices surged by largest amount since 1981

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Consumer spending, after adjusting for inflation, fell in June as shoppers were hit with the biggest increase in prices in nearly three decades.
The Commerce Department reported Monday that consumer spending dipped by 0.2 percent in June, after removing the effects of higher prices, the poorest showing since a similar drop in February. The higher prices reflected a big surge in gasoline costs and helped to drive an inflation gauge tied to consumer spending up by 0.8 percent in June, the biggest increase since a 1 percent rise in February 1981.

Friday, August 01, 2008

Why not read GDPtrend in another way?

4Q 07:negative, 1Q 08:0.9%; 2Q 08:1.9% ....